Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability
Publication Year
2024
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We introduce a dynamic model of position-taking and advertising, in which politicians trade off policy and reelection. We estimate career concerns for US senators, and quantify how preferences for office and policy affect electoral accountability. Senators are typically willing to make signicant policy concessions for electoral gains: the median senator is willing to give up 5% of the average distance between voters and politicians for a 1% increase in the probability of reelection. There is, however, substantial heterogeneity, which covaries with observable characteristics. Given estimated voter responsiveness, accountability is low on average, but high for office-motivated senators in competitive elections.
Journal
American Journal of Political Science
Volume
68
Issue
2
Pages
696–713
Date Published
04/2024
Documents